Jacksonville
W-L: (10- 5) PR = 95.8697Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 131 N Rutgers B1G ( 8- 7, 94.1) 10-11 207 A North Carolina ACC (12- 4, 98.7) 10-11 214 H Le Moyne NEC ( 4-11, 85.2) 20- 2 221 A Duke ACC ( 9- 4, 98.6) 10-16 228 N High Point Atlantic 10 ( 6- 8, 93.3) 18- 7 307 H Detroit Mercy NEC ( 3-10, 85.7) 18- 4 310 H Navy Patriot ( 7- 7, 94.0) 9-10 314 A NJIT America Eas ( 4- 9, 88.2) 9- 6 328 A Air Force ASUN ( 7- 8, 91.3) 16-10 404 H Queens ASUN ( 4- 9, 85.3) 14- 1 411 H Utah ASUN ( 9- 5, 95.2) 8- 9 418 A Bellarmine ASUN ( 5-11, 88.9) 27- 7 425 A Mercer ASUN ( 6- 8, 88.5) 17- 7 501 H Mercer ASUN ( 6- 8, 88.5) 18- 3 o 503 N Air Force ASUN ( 7- 8, 91.3) 16- 7 o
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
131 N Rutgers 10-11 -1 2 - -2.74
207 A North Carolina 10-11 -1 -4 + 3.21
214 H Le Moyne 20- 2 18 12 0.00
221 A Duke 10-16 -6 -4 -1.88
228 N High Point 18- 7 11 3 ++ 4.40
307 H Detroit Mercy 18- 4 14 12 0.00
310 H Navy 9-10 -1 3 -- -4.26
314 A NJIT 9- 6 3 6 - -3.30
328 A Air Force 16-10 6 3 + 2.84
404 H Queens 14- 1 13 12 0.00
411 H Utah 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.09
418 A Bellarmine 27- 7 20 6 1.38
425 A Mercer 17- 7 10 6 0.97
501 H Mercer 18- 3 o 15 9 0.00
503 N Air Force 16- 7 o 9 5 + 2.46
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H Navy 9-10 -1 3 -- -4.26 131 N Rutgers 10-11 -1 2 - -2.74 314 A NJIT 9- 6 3 6 - -3.30 411 H Utah 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.09 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 N High Point 18- 7 11 3 ++ 4.40 207 A North Carolina 10-11 -1 -4 + 3.21 328 A Air Force 16-10 6 3 + 2.84 503 N Air Force 16- 7 o 9 5 + 2.46 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 N Rutgers ( 8- 7, 94.1) 10-11 -5.77 14.82 -0.00 0.95 -2.75
3 A North Carolina (12- 4, 98.7) 10-11 -1.19 19.40 1.38 0.95 -0.09
3 H Le Moyne ( 4-11, 85.2) 20- 2 -14.73 5.87 -1.38 0.95 8.57
3 A Duke ( 9- 4, 98.6) 10-16 -1.28 19.32 1.38 0.95 -0.04
3 N High Point ( 6- 8, 93.3) 18- 7 -6.63 13.97 -0.00 0.95 26.66
3 H Detroit Mercy ( 3-10, 85.7) 18- 4 -14.20 6.40 -1.38 0.95 9.59
3 H Navy ( 7- 7, 94.0) 9-10 -5.91 14.69 -1.38 0.95 -3.48
3 A NJIT ( 4- 9, 88.2) 9- 6 -11.70 8.89 1.38 0.95 19.60
3 A Air Force ( 7- 8, 91.3) 16-10 -8.57 12.03 1.38 0.95 25.58
3 H Queens ( 4- 9, 85.3) 14- 1 -14.59 6.01 -1.38 0.95 8.85
3 H Utah ( 9- 5, 95.2) 8- 9 -4.74 15.85 -1.38 0.95 -2.92
3 A Bellarmine ( 5-11, 88.9) 27- 7 -11.03 9.57 1.38 0.95 20.88
3 A Mercer ( 6- 8, 88.5) 17- 7 -11.43 9.17 1.38 0.95 20.12
3 H Mercer ( 6- 8, 88.5) 18- 3 -11.43 9.17 -1.38 0.95 14.87
3 N Air Force ( 7- 8, 91.3) 16- 7 -8.57 12.03 -0.00 0.95 22.96
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168.39
|
winning pts = 177.6747 losing points = -9.2812
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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